Posts Tagged ‘Brexit’

  1. Leavers: 38% in Catalonia, 37% in UK (and 38% in Scotland)


    October 2, 2017 by AK

    A little fewer than 38% of the eligible voters answered “yes” in the Catalonian independence referendum yesterday. That is, 42% turned out to vote and 89% of them voted “yes” to independence. Or, to count directly, 2.02 million out of the 5.34 registered voters chose independence. In last year’s Brexit referendum, over 37% of the …
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  2. A filibuster in Hungary?


    October 5, 2016 by AK

    If my calculations are correct, 37.4% of the eligible voters voted for Brexit in June and 39.7% of the eligible voters voted for Orbán’s immigration proposal last Sunday. However, the turnout for the Brexit referendum was 72%, with 52% voting “for,” while the turnout for Hungary’s referendum was 43%, with 98% voting “for.” In the …
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  3. Dublin or Amsterdam?


    July 2, 2016 by AK

    At first glance, it seems that Ireland would be the natural domicile for companies wishing to move their addresses from Britain. In particular, Dublin should be in a position to take in refugees from the City. It speaks English and, more importantly, operates under a version of English law, the legal environment preferred by the …
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  4. What was wrong with the polls?


    June 25, 2016 by AK

    The Financial Times’ latest poll of polls had a Remain-Leave-Undecided ratio of 48%-46%-6%. The Economist’s tracker had 44%-44%-9% (not sure where the missing 3% went). The actual vote went 52%-48% for Leave. Were the polls misleading or misinterpreted? First, the polls may have accurately estimated the breakdown among the public in general but not among …
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  5. “Weapons-grade solipsism”


    May 22, 2016 by AK

    My superficial impression of the Brexit controversy – which I tried to express in two words in a comment to this post – is of a high downside-to-upside ratio. Lots to lose and not much to gain. Of course it is a matter of measuring, or weighting, the downside. For instance, the European arrest warrant …
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  6. Joint resistance to Gazprom not a strong argument against Brexit


    March 24, 2016 by AK

    Amber Rudd, the UK energy secretary, is expected to offer these arguments against Brexit: Relying on energy from abroad is not without risk. We have seen how countries such as Putin’s Russia use their gas supplies as a tool of foreign policy. Threatening to cut off supplies or drastically increase prices… As a bloc of …
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