My feeling, based on the pro-Russian provocations in Donetsk and Lugansk, is that Russia is about to invade these regions of Ukraine, and possibly the whole of Southern and Southeastern Ukraine. Much as Edward Luttwak hypothesized in the TNR and the Nikkei Asian Review, followed by Julia Ioffe also in the TNR.
The only preventive measure that would definitely work in NATO troops immediately dispatched to guard Ukraine’s border with Russia, or at least a small number of NATO soldiers joining regular Ukrainian units at critical points along the border.
In the meantime, the Right Sector leader Dmytro Yarosh is talking about blowing up Russian oil and gas pipeline passing through Ukraine as the ultimate self-defense measure. Not sure if Yarosh is for real and if he’s not a Russian plant.
On the other hand, the Russian TV boss Dmitry Kiselev talked about turning the US to nuclear powder – no kidding – just tonight on his Goebbels tribute show.